While Stevenson vs. De Los Santos may be getting all the attention this week, Thursday night boxing in Las Vegas will also deliver a brilliant co-main event fight. Mexico’s Emanuel Navarrete takes on Brazilian Robson Conceicao in a defence of his WBO Super-Featherweight World Title, with Navarrete in fine form and Conceicao desperate for a win.
Both men have excellent title credentials, with Navarrete having won belts in three divisions and Conceicao previously holding the title in two weight grades as well. However, their recent form has been contrasting. The last time Navarrete lost a fight, Carly Rae Jepsen’s “Call Me Maybe” was sitting top of the charts, while for Conceicao, he has two blemishes in recent memory. Can the Brazilian get his career back on track with a big win on Thursday?
We break down all the latest odds from bookmaker bet365 and outline the best bets to make on Navarrete vs. Conceicao this week.
※ Current Odds Date & Time: November 13th, 7:30 A.M. (GMT)
As with the main event on Thursday night, bookies have one fighter a heavy favourite heading into this bout. The defending champion Emanuel Navarrete is a strong 1.083 favourite, well ahead of Robson Conceicao’s odds of 8.00 to win.
Looking at the method of victory odds, bookmaker bet365 is paying a similar return for Navarrete winning by decision and knockout, with these outcomes sitting at 1.90 and 2.05 respectively. For Conceicao, his best shot is seen as a decision at 9.00, while a knockout pays quite possibly the highest odds ever for a finish in boxing, at 67.00.
※ Current Odds Date & Time: November 13th, 7:30 A.M. (GMT)
Is this fight as cut and dry as the odds make it appear? Could there be a world where Conceicao wins by knockout for that enormous return? We say it’s unlikely. While Conceicao has been at the top of the sport previously, his performance against Shakur Steveson was concerning, with only 141 of 576 punches landed. That kind of accuracy won’t win Conceicao a fight and it certainly won’t lead to a knockout.
Wagering on Navarrete to win by knockout in the late rounds is the best bet here. The Mexican has 31 knockouts from 38 wins and is in the form of his life currently. He’ll be eyeing bigger fights in the future and will be eager not to stall out with an uneventful bout against Conceicao, so expect him to be motivated to find the finish. His opponent’s inaccuracy will likely tire him out before Navarrete pounces later in the fight to end this one early.
